Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.159570 0.179613 0.200605 0.224178 0.249857 0.276927 0.307566
2025-02-16 0.133508 0.160733 0.190698 0.225943 0.266069 0.310141 0.362008
2025-02-23 0.117476 0.149867 0.187054 0.232504 0.286133 0.346981 0.420796
2025-03-02 0.100359 0.135313 0.177068 0.229939 0.294377 0.369627 0.463359
2025-03-09 0.087802 0.124603 0.170192 0.229781 0.304504 0.393971 0.507959
2025-03-16 0.076947 0.114703 0.163115 0.228294 0.312189 0.414932 0.548500
2025-03-23 0.070374 0.109614 0.161485 0.233139 0.327451 0.445176 0.600824
2025-03-30 0.063020 0.102628 0.156610 0.233099 0.335992 0.466811 0.642576
2025-04-06 0.056583 0.096237 0.151901 0.232700 0.343640 0.487119 0.682770
2025-04-13 0.050963 0.090444 0.147475 0.232192 0.350777 0.506610 0.722042
2025-04-20 0.046767 0.086368 0.145109 0.234228 0.361170 0.530386 0.767185
2025-04-27 0.044135 0.084461 0.145699 0.240338 0.377198 0.561886 0.823040
2025-05-04 0.040168 0.080175 0.142624 0.241220 0.386294 0.584818 0.868852
2025-05-11 0.037296 0.077420 0.141663 0.245088 0.399662 0.613841 0.923483
2025-05-18 0.035618 0.076540 0.143533 0.253216 0.419352 0.652006 0.991336
2025-05-25 0.031997 0.071849 0.138939 0.251103 0.423819 0.668844 1.030065
2025-06-01 0.029189 0.068331 0.135976 0.251282 0.431539 0.690295 1.075471
2025-06-08 0.026384 0.064507 0.132197 0.249880 0.436682 0.708020 1.115838
2025-06-15 0.024952 0.063198 0.132604 0.255186 0.452119 0.740836 1.178053
2025-06-22 0.022820 0.060248 0.129914 0.255203 0.459272 0.761611 1.223362
2025-06-29 0.020828 0.057355 0.127099 0.254809 0.465656 0.781266 1.267288
2025-07-06 0.019001 0.054599 0.124321 0.254281 0.471706 0.800435 1.310725
2025-07-13 0.017678 0.052800 0.123187 0.256477 0.482099 0.826231 1.364178